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Federal Reserve announced in September that it would begin "unwinding" its giant balance sheet, allowing existing fixed income holdings to mature without purchasing more assets to replace them. These policy changes combined will almost certainly send the purple line in our second chart lower, and if Mr. King is right about the importance of central banks in equity returns, the MSCI world index will fall as well. Charges that the continiuing global bull market in bonds and equities is "fake," and just a huge asset bubble caused solely by loose monetary policy and central-bank market manipulation, have been around since the financial crisis ended.
The reason I've chosen Mr. King's chart as the most important for investors is that, in , we might be able to use it to find out once and for all if these fears are grounded or not. This is a space where subscribers can engage with each other and Globe staff.
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Read our community guidelines here. Article text size A. Scott Barlow Market Strategist. Published November 22, Updated November 22, Report an error Editorial code of conduct. Log in Subscribe to comment Why do I need to subscribe?
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